Thursday in my Google Reader

I use Google Reader for almost all of my web reading. I highly recommend it as a big time saver. Lots of good stuff in there today......

-Today is the day for the local news' much hyped Ben Roethlisberger sit down interviews. And I know when I want the tough questions asked, I bring Bob Pompeani or Sally Wiggin in. These interviews are definitely a good start for Ben in his public image rehab quest though as really nothing can go wrong.

-Did Pete Rose cork his bat at the end of his career? Deadspin has a very detailed story explaining that he may very well have. Just another example of the long held thinking in baseball that if "you aren't cheating, you aren't playing"....And yes, Pete Rose should be in the Hall of Fame.

-The Big 10/Pac 10 power struggle officially starts. Nebraska is going to the Big 10 and Colorado to the Pac 10 as of tomorrow. Can't say I would have predicted a Big 12 collapse before a Big East collapse. And all this restructuring has to be leading to a playoff, right?

-Should MLB have a separate draft of international talent? Fangraphs thinks so. I am all for it as well. Currently, any players outside of the US or Puerto Rico are subject to international free agency at the age of 16. This leads to bidding wars and identity issues that don't happen with the regular draft. Its just one big free for all.

-Speaking of the Draft, here are short profiles (a sentence or two with stats where available) on all 50 Pirate selections. Hint, there are a lot of pitchers. Especially right handed ones out of high school.

-A quick update on a couple former Buccos....Ian Snell is close to at least losing his starting job (for the second time this year) after giving up 8 runs in 1 and 2/3 last night, if not being released altogether. Nate McLouth left the game for Atlanta last night after a nasty collision in the outfield. And he continues to chug along with a .176 average. Dejan can't be happy.

-On the eve of the World Cup, Deadspin (via The Spoiler) has the 11 dirtiest players in the tournament.

-The Big Lead posted their 5 greatest moments in Saved by the Bell history yesterday. Amazingly, I had just referenced the #1 moment on their list in a comment to Anthony here. Great stuff, even though this wouldn't be my top 5. How about something from the Rod Belding episode (2 Beldings in one Building, one of who is balding...)? Or the Friends Forever one? Or anything involving Zack calling timeout and freezing time? What a great and ridiculous show. I could, and probably will at some point, do a whole post on the show...

-And Finally, Marian Hossa gets his Stanley Cup. Good for him. Jeremy Roenick was apparently so happy he started crying on air. Hilarious.

Pedro, Pedro......

I heard this Frank Coonelly interview yesterday on The Fan. The big news? He said Pedro Alvarez is "very close" to the majors. Normally I would think of a comment like that as just lip service, but its the opposite of the normal answer Coonelly or Huntington gives on a prospect. Usually, a guy has "a long way to go" or "there are still a number of issues we are working out that aren't necessarily reflected in stats" even if they plan on calling him up the next day. For example, Walker went from a "ways away" to on the team in a week and Brad Lincoln is about to do the same tonight.

So, Alvarez may be here sooner than we think. My guess is the next homestand as it would make sense to debut him at home since he is their best prospect since Barry Bonds.

Why is Alvarez probably ready? The weakness against left handed pitching has become a lot less pronounced. Actually, he is hitting better against LHPs than RHPs this year accoring to MILB.com.  He also has gotten progressively better each month (just like last year) going from a .721 OPS (on base percentage plus slugging percentage) in April to .982 in May to 1.022 so far in June (through yesterday's game). His strikeouts are also down from last year.

This afternoon after I started writing this post? Alvarez went 3 for 4 with double, triple and 2 run homerun. All the hits were off the left handed starter. His OPS for the year is now .924 and 1.258 in June.

Tabata is here. Lincoln is here. Alvarez should be too.

The Pirates' Risky Business

You can't teach speed. You hear it in all sports for different reasons. Baseball is of course no exception. Neal Huntington has been trying to get hard throwing pitchers into the Pirates system every since he took over. Until now, this has meant pulling guys off the scrap heap or rule 5 draft (Denny Bautista, Hayden Penn, Evan Meek, Donnie Veal etc..) who can throw extremely hard but have some issue. Usually, the issue is not having any idea where the ball is going when it leaves his hand....Neal is just hoping in each case that the Pirates can be the organization that helps the guy "figure it out." Occasionally it works (Evan Meek). Most of the time it doesn't (Denny Bautista).

Neal Huntington has taken the quest for speed to a new level in the draft. In the first two rounds, they selected the two hardest throwers available: Jameson Taillon and Stetson Allie. Taillon can hit 99 mph and some say has the "polish" of a college pitcher because of  already having a four pitch arsenal. He would be the number one pick overall in a year without Bryce Harper. Allie can hit 100 mph but has some control issues at times. He was rated the #8 overall prospect talent wise by Baseball America, but could be a very tough sign as rumors claim he is looking for 3 million to skip college (reason he slipped to the 52 pick). That would be an unheard of amount for a second round pick. Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus says the Pirates signing both of these guys would make it a "potential franchise changing two days." Hopefully they can get it done.

Of course there is some risk (actually a good bit) here...High school pitchers get hurt. They don't have a good track record of living up to expectations. I have already heard the jokes that the Pirates should just schedule their Tommy John surgery for next week and be done with it. However, if that is your thinking, please explain how the Pirates are supposed to get their hands on an "ace" type pitcher (like the one they saw last night, wow was Strasburg good). Those guys don't make it to free agency and they couldn't afford them anyway. The amateur draft is the cheapest way to acquire talent.

These were picks that had to be made and a team in the Pirates situation has to take the risk when guys with 99 mph fastballs and plus curves are available. Otherwise you will never end up with a rotation made up anything other Paul Maholms and Zach Dukes (at best).....I can't wait to get them signed and into the system. 

Absence Makes the Heart Grow Fonder

I am taking an indefinite leave of absence from the blog.

Bird and perhaps occasionally, Jim, will lead you in the coming days, weeks, and months.

Getting a master's degree while working full time is challenging. Throw 2 kids, a new house, a dog that won't listen, and 2 cats (that I'm sort of allergic to) into the mix, and I don't have time to entertain your sorry asses right now.

So stay tuned and continue to enjoy the blog.

If you think you can add something to the blog, hit me up on facebook and I'll forward your interest to Bird. We can use a few more writers...

If I get a chance, I'll periodically update you with my thoughts. For now, I'm out.

Peace.

Monday Links

No huge story to write about today. So a handful of links.......

-Bob Smizik has decided that past performance IS indicative of future results when it comes to the MLB draft. He prefers a college player to the high upside (but higher risk) high schoolers. Of course, he will probably write an article in the next day or so complaining about the Pirates lack of high upside prospects...But that is to be expected from Bob.

-Everything you ever wanted to know about the Pirates' 2010 Draft strategy.

-Baseball America's final Mock draft has the Pirates picking Jameson Taillon. That would be my choice although they really can't go wrong with Machado either, who the PG says they are leaning towards...

-Bryon Leftwich has a leg up to be the starter during Ben's suspension instead of Dennis Dixon. That is extremely disappointing. I like Byron but with the offensive line in front of him, his immobility, and his Hideo Nomo like windup and delivery, this is not going to end well.

-Apparently now the Pac 10 is going to try to beat the Big 10 to it by raiding the Big 12. Is anyone else extremely bored with all the college expansion talk? Who really cares where teams end up in football if you aren't going to have a playoff to determine a winner?

-While cutting grass last night, I listened to a good bit of Colin Dunlap's radio show on 93.7 The Fan. It was very enjoyable as he had different topics (example in reference to John Wooden...Is it harder to coach
"talent" that has high expectations and egos?) and wasn't afraid to take the non-standard side of an argument. And unlike someone like Mark Madden, he allowed people to talk when they disagreed with him and it led to some good discussion. The only downside was his interview of Chuck Finder. He is just as wordy and incoherent on the radio as he is in print. Hopefully, Dunlap gets a better slot than 6pm to 10pm on Sunday night as time goes on.

-Mario had a hole in one yesterday at Oakmont. Good to hear something finally went his way.

-And finally, a "typical" Boston sports fan's view of the NBA finals (language is sketchy). If only this site had a yinzer character.

Shady's Back...Back AGAIN

I'm sure you are all wondering where I've been.

I was at the beach for a week. What's it to ya?

Some thoughts:

• Seems like I've been missing a lot of work lately. I wouldn't say I've been missing it, Bob.
• I heard about that awful shooting in Mt. Pleasant Township all the way in Cape May, NJ. Now the taxpayers get to foot the bill to keep that coward alive. Super.
• I just read Bird's post on the Pirates draft. I vote the Pirates bypass all of those prospects and take the 20th best prospect instead.
• I heard all about that umpire blowing the call that cost a dude a perfect game. The classy Detroit pitcher, Armando Galarraga, said afterwards that "nobody's perfect." Well, Armando, you would've been if the ump didn't blow the call.
• Hopefully BP fixes that oil leak before 2011. I was going to make a political remark here, but I'll save that for my next phone conversation with Bird.
• I don't know why I do it to myself, but I read Dejan Kovacevic again this morning. Sure enough, he was praising another former Pirate while I was away. GLORY DAYS!!! Might be time to seek professional help, dude.

Come to think of it, I should've stayed at the beach...

Taillon, Machado, or Pomeranz?

The MLB Draft starts on Monday. To a team in the Pirates situation, this is a huge event. Not often noted by the media but worth noting is that the organization has treated it as such over the last two years by spending more money than any other team in MLB. They have the second pick this year and will more than likely miss out on the much hyped Bryce Harper. According to my reading they seem to be down to one of three players (in my order of preference): RHP Jameson Taillon, SS Manny Machado, or LHP Drew Pomeranz. Quick thoughts on each:

Taillon is my choice because its just not easy to find someone who throws as hard as he does with "polish" at 18 years old. He has already been called a harder throwing Josh Beckett. Bryce Harper's thoughts on him:

"I caught him against Cuba," Harper said of the shutout, 72/3-innings performance last fall that won the United States its inaugural gold medal in Pan-American Games 18-and-under baseball. "Struck out 17. Nasty stuff. He's amazing."


I like Machado as well, and am of course intrigued by the A-Rod comparisons even though they probably only come up because they are both from Miami. What worries me a bit is that his eventual size (already 6 foot 3 190 lbs at 18) will prevent him being a SS over the long term. However, his hitting potential makes it a somewhat moot point where he ends up playing.


Pomeranz is very good, but he wouldn't be my pick. He is more of a sure thing and will definitely get to the majors faster than the other two, but doesn't have the upside Taillon has ("only" hits 94 occasional, 90-92 consistently). However, he is left handed and that always matters to teams. Picking Pomeranz would also oddly mean that the Pirates have 3 guys who were roommates on Mississippi's 2009 Team in their minor league system. Weird.


Interesting thing....Keith Law, who was the first to report and confirm the Bucs were going to select Tony Sanchez last year, (seemingly out of nowhere) has changed his mock draft to show the Pirates taking Taillon. Its insider only on ESPN but you can see the Pirates part.


Whatever happens in the first round, it will be just as interesting to watch and see if the Pirates continue their tendency to take tough to sign high schoolers in the middle rounds and buy them out of their college committments. That is how you can continue to stock an improving minor league system.....

What to think of Ken Griffey Jr?

Ken Griffey Jr. was the first true superstar of my baseball fandom. He hits 16 homeruns in the majors as a 19 year old in 1989. His 1989 Rookie cards were what every kid wanted to have. At one point I had the Fleer and Donruss versions but could never get my hands on the Upper Deck one. It was THE holy grail of baseball cards for a collector in the early 90s.  He was "The Kid" who was going to be the greatest ever. His retirement and the realization that I watched his entire 22 year career is just another sign that I am starting to get old.

Quick sidebar...Griffey was the first pick in the 1987 draft by Seattle. The Pirates actually had the worst record in MLB in 1986 but got the second pick because at the time the first overall pick alternated between the American and National Leagues (not that case anymore). So, if the current rules were in effect, the Pirates would have drafted Ken Griffey Jr (instead of a can't miss guy who never played in the majors) and had an outfield of Ken Griffey Jr., Barry Bonds, and Andy Van Slyke in the late 80s/early 90s. I am pretty sure that would have beat the Braves and whoever from the American League. And Griffey would have been there past 1992 even if Bonds left...Just crazy to even think about.

That sidebar is actually the perfect segue way as Griffey's career is the ultimate case of "what if" mainly due to all his injuries. He finished with 630 home runs. Does he easily break the home run record if  plays 140+ games in a season more than twice in the 2000s?  He also missed about half the season in 1995. With the other counting stats that are bound to come with more playing time make him the best ever?  It is impossible to say.

What I can say is that it feels like Ken Griffey just never seemed to live up to his potential. I don't know if that is fair nor if he could have ever lived up to the expectations. However, the first thing I think about with Griffey is his slide to score the winning run and beat the Yankees in the playoffs. That play was 15 years ago!  Its not that he hasn't had a great career since as the numbers were great (led the AL in homers in 97, 98, and 99 with some gaudy stats). But was 1995 the pinnacle? He just always seemed to be overshadowed after that. Whether it was the Yankees winning a bunch of titles, the McGwire/Sosa home run chase, or the lost years in Cincy, I just can't recall a lot of "moments" for Junior. That seems weird to me considering he is an all-time great and I am as big a baseball fan as anyone.

Another thing about Griffey that makes me curious is why it is always assumed he didn't do any kind of performance enhancing drugs. He is constantly considered the best "clean" superstar of the steroids era but aren't there at least some signs that he could have been dirty too? Haven't we said before that symptoms of steroid/PED use include breaking down physically earlier than most? Griffey didn't have an injury free season after age 30 which lead to the thinking of unfulfilled expectations I mentioned before. I don't think he did any PEDs but also don't think the possibility should be dismissed. I think it is because of the fact that Griffey was the face of baseball for a lot of years after the strike, more so than any of the other suspected/admitted users. An admission by Griffey would hurt the game much worse (in the media's) eyes than any of the others.

So, what to think of Ken Griffey's career? Will he be remembered more for what could have been, including the fact that he never played in a World Series? Or for the years he kept baseball together as the media/kid friendly superstar and basically saved baseball in Seattle? 

More Instant Replay in Baseball?

I am sure you have heard by now what happened in Detroit last night. It was the worst possible time for the rare MLB umpire mistake. Baseball umpires are by far the best officials in sports.Sure, they seem to be a bit arrogant  and sometimes seem to try to make themselves too much of the story (I'm talking to you "Country" Joe West). However, they are about 98% correct in their calls game to game. That is probably why MLB has been able to resist implementing instant replay beyond home run calls. But this missed call may be what pushes the cry for instant replay over the edge....

Personally, I am against instant replay beyond what they currently have in place for home runs (over the line, fair or foul) if the system of review would be staying the same. Under the current system of "going under the hood," There is just too many ways the game can be brutally extended time wise. Would every close play at first be reviewed? Every trap by an outfielder? Only calls that a team complains about? It could be a real disaster.

There is one idea that would expand instant replay that I like (with some tweaking). Bloggin Bob Smizik mentioned it this morning. He wants to have a five man umpiring crew with one of the five in a video booth where he would have oversight in "extreme circumstances."

This might be what Bob means but I would make it just like the college football system (not coincidentally the most effective and least intrusive of the replay systems out there). The fifth umpire in the video booth is watching every play. If he sees something that is incorrect, he would notify the crew chief on field via some kind of phone/buzzer that the call should be changed. Most of the time that could be done without even stopping the game as replays come so fast and are usually pretty conclusive. In this system, the video review umpire would also have the ability to tell the field umps to stop the game if he needs time to look at multiple replays, but there would be a very short window to do that. Basically, if the video review umpire can't determine the right call in say 60 seconds, the call on the field stands.  Managers would not be able to argue anything that is reviewed, nor ask for a review. The video review umpire has the final say and balls/strikes cannot be reviewed.

I have heard others suggest a NFL like challenge system where each manager gets a couple "red flags" per game. I don't like that one at all. It would end up being used as just another stall tactic by managers wanting to buy time for their bullpen for just mess with the other team/umpires (I can already picture Tony Larussa abusing his challenges). I hate the challenge system in the NFL. It should be like college football. Why should there be a limit on how many things can be reviewed if there are multiple bad calls?

My attitude is that if you are going to have instant replay it needs to be available for all calls while not slowing down the game at all.  Other Thoughts?

Mid Week Thoughts....

Some of the things crossing my mind on this fine Wednesday evening....

-Neil Walker is off to a great start in his first week back in the majors. A game winning homer will do that. So far, he has put the attitude problems I ripped him for a couple weeks ago behind him and done what you were always told he was capable of (but he didn't do in the minors until 2010). Great to see and I hope he keeps it up. 

-Was it just me or did Ben Roethlisberger look to be about 25 lbs lighter than he normally is this time of year when he reported to OTAs yesterday? Did he start his yearly pre-training camp mma-esque weight cut down early? Or is he finally hanging out somewhere other than the bar in the offseason (like the treadmill)? Based on how things have gone so far, I am pretty convinced Lord Goddell will ultimately reduce his suspension to 4 games. Which brings him back just in time for the Browns.

-If you listen to 93.7 The Fan here in Pittsburgh, you have in the last couple days surely heard about the off the wall Allegheny County Councilman who is urging Pittsburghers to root for the Flyers in the Stanley Cup Finals. And if you don't listen to the station, just turn it on for a couple minutes and someone will mention the story. I promise. Its part of their every twenty minutes update somehow. Both yesterday and today, Seibel and Starkey would not stop laughing and carrying on about how dumb this guy is. They replayed their interview with him yesterday first thing today and then took calls about it. How is that anywhere near compelling radio? Yikes.

-Speaking of dumb things that have somehow become part of the news, how about the Pens testing of the toilets at the Consol Energy Center? Are local news outlet that hurting for stories these days? Actually, they are probably just taking any chance they get to make bad toilet/flush puns. Cause those are funny.

-I caught up on the TV show Flash Forward over the last couple of days. It was a good show but I wouldn't recommend making time for it if as it has a cliffhanger first season ending. That would normally be fine, but the show was cancelled. 

-Finally, the Pirates are in a rain delay right now. There has to be a better option than the programming they put on during rain delays. I usually change the channel, but still have seen the Mazeroski show they have on right now numerous times. And if it isn't this Mazeroski show, its "Inside Pirates Baseball" which is on about 15 times over the weekend anyway. Would it be so crazy to just keep it with the announcers and talk about the team, MLB, maybe even interview a guy a or two?

The Next Lebron?

Bryce Harper is going to be the first pick in the MLB Draft next Monday. He was hailed as "Baseball's Lebron" as a 16 year old. He has "light tower power" and has demonstrated it as a 17 year old in junior college after there were some doubts. He might be the real Roy Hobbs. If only the Pirates had been slightly worse last year, he could be coming to Pittsburgh instead of Washington...

The only prospect who has been hyped more over the last 10 years is Stephen Strasburg. Or maybe Mark Prior.

Joe Posnanski, one of my favorite writers, attempts to slow the hype down just a bit by explaining how different the Harper and Strasburg paths to the majors are/will be. While he still loves the talent of Harper, there have been plenty of  "can't miss" high school prospects at the top of the draft miss while Strasburg was ready for the majors the instant he was drafted (basically there was no risk)....The money quote from his "scout friend:"

He did not finish that sentence though he could have finished it this way: “And everything doesn’t always go right in baseball.” The bottom line is this: He thinks Harper is one of the best 17-year-old hitting prospects he’s seen. But, he’s just that: A terrific 17-year-old prospect. And there have been a lot of those.

Here is the complete article.

Who do the Pirates pick second after this guy is off the board? They seem to have about 3 options, one of which is being compared to A-Rod, not to get out of control with expectations or anything. I will get to them later this week.